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Market & Regulatory Commentary

Notes from our Luxembourg desks on the European policy and market developments that change how corporates, financial institutions and fund promoters fund, hedge and trade. Published as commentary, not as investment research.

Coverage areas Monetary Policy Fiscal Rules Capital Markets Trade Policy FX & Rates Energy Policy Digital Euro EU Budget
The European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt am Main
Monetary Policy

ECB keeps the deposit facility rate on hold as euro-area disinflation consolidates

With headline inflation converging on the two per cent objective, the Governing Council has settled into a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting stance. For corporate treasurers the operative question is no longer the direction of policy rates but the shape of the forward curve.

21AUG 7 min read
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Ministers gathering for a European Council meeting
12AUG Fiscal Rules 6 min read

Eurogroup reviews the first full cycle of the reformed fiscal framework

Medium-term plans have replaced the old one-year-ahead arithmetic. The immediate consequence for capital markets is prosaic but valuable: sovereign supply calendars, and therefore the…

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Plenary chamber of the European Parliament
05AUG Capital Markets 7 min read

Savings and Investment Union: what the file means for cross-border distribution

The union's latest attempt to deepen its capital markets bundles together questions the market has long treated separately: retail distribution, supervisory convergence and post-trade…

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Container terminal with stacked freight containers and gantry cranes
29JUL Trade Policy 8 min read

CBAM in its definitive phase: documentary burden moves into the letter of credit

The carbon border adjustment mechanism's transition from reporting to financial obligation changes what a trade finance document has to prove. Emissions data is no longer a sustainability…

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Euro currency symbol sculpture illuminated at dusk
18JUL FX & Rates 6 min read

The exchange-rate channel returns to the euro-area policy debate

With policy rates on a plateau, the exchange rate is doing more of the work in transmitting monetary conditions. For exporters and for corporates funding in more than one currency,…

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High-voltage transmission pylons against an open sky
17JUL Energy Policy 7 min read

Electricity market design reform puts PPAs and CfDs at the centre of industrial hedging

The reformed market design pushes long-term contracting from the margins to the centre of industrial energy strategy. That turns an operational procurement decision into a credit and…

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Abstract representation of digital payment networks
09JUL Digital Euro 6 min read

Digital euro preparation moves towards its legislative endgame

Technical preparation is well advanced; the open questions are political and, from a bank treasury perspective, they are the questions that matter. Holding limits and remuneration determine…

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Facade of a European Commission building in Brussels
01JUL EU Budget 7 min read

Competitiveness funding takes shape in the Union’s next budget cycle

The next budget cycle consolidates a fragmented landscape of programmes into fewer, larger competitiveness instruments. For corporate applicants the change is more consequential than the…

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This commentary is produced by China Everbright Bank (Europe) S.A. for information purposes only. It does not constitute investment research, investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Views expressed reflect the judgement of the relevant desk at the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. No representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness of third-party information referred to. See our full disclaimer for further detail.